Rainbow over the minicipality

Rainbow over the minicipality

Sunday 13 September 2015

Global Civil War

Global Civil War is my terrible prediction.  While writing to New Whig, commenting about Peter Dutton, an unabashed racist, I added that: "Politics is too extremely polarised. In Her Majesty's United Kingdom (Aus is a separate realm) the Labour Party (u are in Labor in the UK) has just elected as leader Jeremy Corbin even further to the left than Ed Miliband; many European parliaments have powerful, extreme parties.
If the social fracture persists with a continually widening rift, the only outcome can be an eventual Global Civil War."  I could not add the emphasis on FaceBook.  I then added: "Is this the first place to write this?" or something similar, which I deleted as pretentious but then found there was no such Wikipedia page.  I haven't done a google search yet, but there were Wikipedia references to multiple electronic games.

West Asia is already fighting civil wars, not national wars.  This is partly because national borders mean less within the ummah.  It is easy to see how these issues could spread.  Support for either side in these conflicts has become a political issue in many countries, and combined with other idealistic issues like the supposed plight of the palestinians and alleged global warming.

Civil war in China is more likely than China being at war in a traditional way with the rest of the world or some other countries.  The Chinese are too canny for that; Economic War perhaps, and certainly well played brinkmanship. With a widespread Chinese diaspora, this civil war could easily take root in other countries, where it could inject energy into other social disputes and combine to form new fronts in the Global Civil War.

The United Kingdom is becoming more extremely divided.  Scotland has swung far to the left by almost totally endorsing their Nationalist Party, which on social issues is to the left of Labour.  (It is symbolic that U/you, is/are in UK Labour, but excluded from the Australian Labor Party, but they are both shifting left.)  The Occupy Movement showed how realistic people's action can be.

In Melbourne, regular popular demonstrations block the most visible intersection between the station, the pub and the church, sometimes spontaneously erupting in response to a new issue.  While these are small, they indicate the level of energy in the community and the ease and speed at which people can be mobilised in this electronic age.

Civil Wars are nasty business.  They can cause more deaths that inter-national wars. Britain has a history of civil wars, including the War of the Roses.  The Americas have had civil wars on both continents, and European history is full of revolutions and civil wars.  There is nothing to suggest humanity has changed.  Civil wars are fought on home territory, not distant battlefields, at sea or in space.

The dispute between Israel and the Palestinians is a civil war between two nations trying to share a single land, except that the problem is perpetuated by the international, anti-Semitic Moslem policy of using the un-helped Palestinians, particularly in Gaza, to demonise Israel.  The ancient dispute between branches of Islam is also civil war that could become internationalised due to the minorities in so many countries that only require enemies of their enemies to burst into action.





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